Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Scott Chandler
Scott Chandler

Player breakdown

Scott Chandler

Iowa · 2007 Draft Class

6-7270 lbs4th round, 129th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010BUF41318802
2011BUF149463838910.2627.8
2012BUF1513744357113.3638.1
2013BUF167815365512.4240.9
2014BUF165704749710.6331.1
2015NWE154422325911.3417.3
Career80393162052,37911.62129.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004IowaBig Ten222283212.9141.5
2005IowaBig Ten240463211.6231.5
2006IowaBig Ten644555612.692.5
Career101061,3011012.3130.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

111" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.644
740 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.508
141.5 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.290

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+136 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.540
Speed × production: 57.4 — average combined athletic output-0.370
Class YPR rank: top 67% — average per-target efficiency-0.322

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)