Player breakdown
Stephen Sullivan
LSU · 2020 Draft Class
6-5248 lbs7th round, 251st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
HighMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
61%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | CAR | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | CAR | 14 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 2023 | CAR | 11 | 0 | 24 | 12 | 125 | 10.4 | 0 | 11.4 |
| 2024 | CAR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 29 | 0 | 32 | 14 | 171 | 12.2 | 0 | 5.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | LSU | SEC | 6 | 9 | 195 | 0 | 21.7 | 32.5 |
| 2018 | LSU | SEC | 9 | 20 | 287 | 0 | 14.3 | 31.9 |
| 2019 | LSU | SEC | 5 | 11 | 121 | 0 | 11 | 24.2 |
| Career | 20 | 40 | 603 | 0 | 15.1 | 30.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
61%
ML model output
Context Prob
61%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
123" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.574
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.345
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.254
Top Negative Factors
382 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.392
1.16 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.363
32.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.340