Player breakdown
Tanner Koziol
Houston · 2026 Draft Class
6-6247 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9 | 33 | 356 | 0 | 10.8 | 39.6 |
| 2023 | Ball State | Mid-American | 11 | 32 | 282 | 1 | 8.8 | 25.6 |
| 2024 | Ball State | Mid-American | 12 | 91 | 804 | 7 | 8.8 | 67 |
| 2025 | Houston | Big 12 | 13 | 65 | 621 | 0 | 9.6 | 47.8 |
| Career | 45 | 221 | 2,063 | 8 | 9.3 | 45.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
32%
ML model output
Context Prob
32%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
122" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.597
745 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.517
2.51 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+88) — improving trajectory-0.626
47.8 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.451
Speed × production: 62.9 — strong combined athletic output-0.388