Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tanner McLachlan
Tanner McLachlan

Player breakdown

Tanner McLachlan

Arizona · 2024 Draft Class

6-5244 lbs6th round, 194th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~27
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

51%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019Southern UtahBig Sky134801648
2022ArizonaPac-121233448113.637.3
2023ArizonaPac-12832337210.542.1
Career2168833312.339.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

51%

ML model output

Context Prob

51%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.613
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.258
Reception rate trend+0.242

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+144 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.546
37.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.442
1.84 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.370

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)