Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Teagan Quitoriano
Teagan Quitoriano

Player breakdown

Teagan Quitoriano

Oregon St. · 2022 Draft Class

6-6258 lbs5th round, 170th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

36%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022HOU9614711316.1212.6
2023HOU75323316.504.7
Career161117914616.229.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018Oregon StatePac-12221306.56.5
2019Oregon StatePac-125510002020
2020Oregon StatePac-12511117010.623.4
2021Oregon StatePac-1281314301117.9
Career2031373012.018.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

36%

ML model output

Context Prob

36%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Reception rate trend+0.264
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.244
-71.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.192

Top Negative Factors

162 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.429
0.55 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.409
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.381

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)