Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Terrance Carter
Terrance Carter

Player breakdown

Terrance Carter

Texas Tech · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023LouisianaSun Belt102421829.121.8
2024LouisianaSun Belt1247689014.757.4
2025Texas TechBig 121253575010.847.9
Career341241,482212.043.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.178
Vertical jump not recorded at combine+0.151
10.8 YPR in first season — average freshman efficiency+0.150

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+178 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.537
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.420
47.9 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.418

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)