Player breakdown
Terrance Ferguson
Oregon · 2025 Draft Class
6-5247 lbs2nd round, 46th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LAR | 14 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 231 | 21 | 3 | 16.5 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10 | 16 | 133 | 0 | 8.3 | 13.3 |
| 2022 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11 | 23 | 251 | 0 | 10.9 | 22.8 |
| 2023 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 12 | 38 | 392 | 0 | 10.3 | 32.7 |
| 2024 | Oregon | Big Ten | 11 | 37 | 433 | 0 | 11.7 | 39.4 |
| Career | 44 | 114 | 1,209 | 0 | 10.6 | 27.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
21%
ML model output
Context Prob
21%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
122" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.594
Reception rate trend+0.278
Speed × production: 46.5 — average combined athletic output+0.199
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+100) — improving trajectory-0.690
1.75 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.414
490 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.364