Predicting the Pros
Predictions/T.J. Williams
T.J. Williams

Player breakdown

T.J. Williams

North Carolina St. · 2006 Draft Class

6-2269 lbs6th round, 202nd overallAge: ~40
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

53%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004NC StateACC031382012.30
2005NC StateACC235371210.6185.5
Career266753211.4376.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

53%

ML model output

Context Prob

53%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

111" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.664
382.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.291
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.13 — variable output+0.251

Top Negative Factors

458 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.379
1.42 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.330
Class YPR rank: top 73% — average per-target efficiency-0.317

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)