Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tommy Sweeney
Tommy Sweeney

Player breakdown

Tommy Sweeney

Boston Col. · 2019 Draft Class

6-4251 lbs7th round, 228th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~31
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2019BUF6113811414.3019
2021BUF133129444.913.4
2022BUF50117701.4
Career24426181659.216.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2015Boston CollegeACC4568013.617
2016Boston CollegeACC1023318113.831.8
2017Boston CollegeACC1129374312.934
2018Boston CollegeACC1132348310.931.6
Career36891,108712.430.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

10%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Reception rate trend+0.272
-59.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.189
Speed × production: 34.5 — average combined athletic output+0.183

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+93) — improving trajectory-0.699
448 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.506
1.49 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.451

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)