Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tony Jackson
Tony Jackson

Player breakdown

Tony Jackson

Iowa · 2005 Draft Class

6-2266 lbs6th round, 196th overallAge: ~40
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004IowaBig Ten1782111.782

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

25%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.588
YPG ranked at 17th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.182
Speed × production: 8.6 — average combined athletic output+0.161

Top Negative Factors

82.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.470
109 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.418
0.31 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.369

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)