Player breakdown
Tony Moeaki
Iowa · 2010 Draft Class
6-3245 lbs3rd round, 93rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | KAN | 15 | 15 | 73 | 47 | 556 | 11.8 | 3 | 37.1 |
| 2012 | KAN | 15 | 14 | 56 | 33 | 453 | 13.7 | 1 | 30.2 |
| 2014 | SEA | 6 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 134 | 16.8 | 1 | 22.3 |
| 2015 | ATL | 11 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 58 | 19.3 | 1 | 5.3 |
| Career | 47 | 31 | 147 | 91 | 1,201 | 13.2 | 6 | 25.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Iowa | Big Ten | 0 | 8 | 112 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
| 2006 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3 | 10 | 132 | 3 | 13.2 | 44 |
| 2007 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1 | 14 | 170 | 3 | 12.1 | 170 |
| 2008 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1 | 10 | 101 | 1 | 10.1 | 101 |
| 2009 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3 | 30 | 387 | 4 | 12.9 | 129 |
| Career | 8 | 72 | 902 | 11 | 12.5 | 112.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
12%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.584
112.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.348
Efficiency consistency: 1.12 — highly consistent across seasons+0.222
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+68) — improving trajectory-0.725
1.58 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.398
516 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.338