Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Travis Beckum
Travis Beckum

Player breakdown

Travis Beckum

Wisconsin · 2009 Draft Class

6-3243 lbs3rd round, 100th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009NYG152108556.903.7
2010NYG16218131168.927.3
2011NYG1301059318.617.2
2012NYG40100000
Career484392626410.235.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006WisconsinBig Ten356821414.7273.7
2007WisconsinBig Ten673960613.2160
2008WisconsinBig Ten023264011.50
Career91522,0451013.5227.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

38%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,280 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.471
Class YPR rank: top 18% — elite per-target efficiency+0.364
273.7 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.301

Top Negative Factors

Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.403
Speed × production: 103.3 — elite combined athletic output-0.316
Reception rate trend-0.312

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)