Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tre' McKitty
Tre' McKitty

Player breakdown

Tre' McKitty

Georgia · 2021 Draft Class

6-4247 lbs3rd round, 97th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

31%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2021LAC11486457.504.1
2022LAC1781810727.204.2
Career281226161177.304.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017Florida StateACC112302323
2018Florida StateACC102625209.725.2
2019Florida StateACC923241010.526.8
2020GeorgiaSEC4610811827
Career2456624111.126.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

31%

ML model output

Context Prob

31%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.389
-63.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.170
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.165

Top Negative Factors

144 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.425
0.44 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.401
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.356

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)