Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Trevon Wesco
Trevon Wesco

Player breakdown

Trevon Wesco

West Virginia · 2019 Draft Class

6-3267 lbs4th round, 121st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

21%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2020NYJ124215500.4
2021NYJ127533511.702.9
2022CHI14142261301.9
2023TEN151031212101.4
Career53221478712.401.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016West VirginiaBig 12116066
2017West VirginiaBig 12111011
2018West VirginiaBig 12923320013.935.6
Career1125327013.129.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

21%

ML model output

Context Prob

21%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.588
Reception rate trend+0.273
-60.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.189

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+157 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.511
384 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.507
1.20 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.445

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)