Player breakdown
Troy Fumagalli
Wisconsin · 2018 Draft Class
6-5247 lbs5th round, 156th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
15%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | DEN | 11 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 6.3 | 1 | 3.5 |
| 2020 | DEN | 8 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 80 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| Career | 19 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 118 | 8.4 | 2 | 6.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11 | 12 | 169 | 0 | 14.1 | 15.4 |
| 2015 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8 | 27 | 277 | 0 | 10.3 | 34.6 |
| 2016 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 12 | 40 | 492 | 0 | 12.3 | 41 |
| 2017 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11 | 43 | 516 | 4 | 12 | 46.9 |
| Career | 42 | 122 | 1,454 | 4 | 11.9 | 34.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
15%
ML model output
Context Prob
15%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Reception rate trend+0.271
Efficiency consistency: 1.18 — highly consistent across seasons+0.240
-55.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.185
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+115 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.742
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.425
Class YPR rank: top 58% — average per-target efficiency-0.354