Player breakdown
Tucker Kraft
South Dakota St. · 2023 Draft Class
6-5254 lbs3rd round, 78th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
High700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
59%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | GNB | 17 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 355 | 11.5 | 2 | 20.9 |
| 2024 | GNB | 17 | 17 | 70 | 50 | 707 | 14.1 | 7 | 41.6 |
| 2025 | GNB | 8 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 489 | 15.3 | 6 | 61.1 |
| Career | 42 | 33 | 154 | 113 | 1,551 | 13.7 | 15 | 36.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | South Dakota State | MVFC | 4 | 11 | 115 | 1 | 10.5 | 28.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
59%
ML model output
Context Prob
59%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
122" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.630
Flat production across college career+0.203
-61.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.185
Top Negative Factors
38 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.426
0.45 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.363
28.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.330