Player breakdown
Tyler Conklin
Central Michigan · 2018 Draft Class
6-3254 lbs5th round, 157th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
21%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | MIN | 16 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 15.4 | 0 | 4.8 |
| 2019 | MIN | 15 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 58 | 7.3 | 0 | 3.9 |
| 2020 | MIN | 16 | 2 | 26 | 19 | 194 | 10.2 | 1 | 12.1 |
| 2021 | MIN | 17 | 15 | 87 | 61 | 593 | 9.7 | 3 | 34.9 |
| 2022 | NYJ | 17 | 16 | 87 | 58 | 552 | 9.5 | 3 | 32.5 |
| 2023 | NYJ | 17 | 12 | 87 | 61 | 621 | 10.2 | 0 | 36.5 |
| 2024 | NYJ | 16 | 15 | 72 | 51 | 449 | 8.8 | 4 | 28.1 |
| 2025 | LAC | 13 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 101 | 14.4 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Career | 127 | 69 | 386 | 270 | 2,645 | 9.8 | 11 | 20.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4 | 6 | 95 | 0 | 15.8 | 23.8 |
| 2016 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 11 | 37 | 485 | 0 | 13.1 | 44.1 |
| 2017 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7 | 28 | 406 | 0 | 14.5 | 58 |
| Career | 22 | 71 | 986 | 0 | 13.9 | 44.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
21%
ML model output
Context Prob
21%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
120" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.608
Reception rate trend+0.263
Efficiency consistency: 1.14 — highly consistent across seasons+0.226
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+155 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.547
161 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.521
23.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.318