Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyler Davis
Tyler Davis

Player breakdown

Tyler Davis

Georgia Tech · 2020 Draft Class

6th round, 206th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2020JAX80200000
2021GNB14054358.802.5
2022GNB17174266.501.5
Career391148617.601.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016UConnAmerican Athletic51110709.721.4
2017UConnAmerican Athletic714156011.122.3
2018UConnAmerican Athletic822226610.328.2
2019Georgia TechACC101714818.714.8
Career3064637710.021.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

YPG ranked at 9th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.203
Positive production trend (+13) — improving trajectory+0.170
8.7 YPR in first season — average freshman efficiency+0.169

Top Negative Factors

177 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.425
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.412
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.371

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)