Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyler Ecker
Tyler Ecker

Player breakdown

Tyler Ecker

Michigan · 2007 Draft Class

7th round, 216th overallAge: ~40
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

14%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004MichiganBig Ten21513929.369.5
2005MichiganBig Ten120214110.7214
2006MichiganBig Ten2677212.838.5
Career541430510.586.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

14%

ML model output

Context Prob

14%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.240
YPG ranked at 11th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.207
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.155

Top Negative Factors

69.5 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.437
285 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.376
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.365

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)