Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyler Eifert
Tyler Eifert

Player breakdown

Tyler Eifert

Notre Dame · 2013 Draft Class

6-5250 lbs1st round, 21st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
HighJohn Mackey x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

72%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013CIN1515603944511.4229.7
2014CIN11333712.3037
2015CIN1312745261511.81347.3
2016CIN82472939413.6549.3
2017CIN21544611.5023
2018CIN42191517911.9144.8
2019CIN164634343610.1327.3
2020JAX15460363499.7223.3
Career74413312212,50111.32633.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010Notre DameFBS Independents223321214160.5
2011Notre DameFBS Independents557713512.5142.6
2012Notre DameFBS Independents450685413.7171.2
Career111301,7191113.2156.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

18%

ML model output

Context Prob

18%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

119" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.616
2.85 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.334
160.5 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.294

Top Negative Factors

237 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.524
Strong ascending production slope (+182 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.467
Speed × production: 74.3 — strong combined athletic output-0.325

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)