Player breakdown
Tyler Kroft
Rutgers · 2015 Draft Class
6-5246 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | CIN | 16 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 129 | 11.7 | 1 | 8.1 |
| 2016 | CIN | 14 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 92 | 9.2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| 2017 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 62 | 42 | 404 | 9.6 | 7 | 25.3 |
| 2018 | CIN | 5 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 7.2 |
| 2019 | BUF | 11 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 71 | 11.8 | 1 | 6.5 |
| 2020 | BUF | 10 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 119 | 9.9 | 3 | 11.9 |
| 2021 | NYJ | 9 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 173 | 10.8 | 1 | 19.2 |
| 2022 | SFO | 11 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 57 | 14.3 | 0 | 5.2 |
| Career | 92 | 52 | 155 | 105 | 1,081 | 10.3 | 13 | 11.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1 | 3 | 59 | 1 | 19.7 | 59 |
| 2013 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4 | 40 | 530 | 4 | 13.2 | 132.5 |
| 2014 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 9 | 23 | 247 | 0 | 10.7 | 27.4 |
| Career | 14 | 66 | 836 | 5 | 12.7 | 59.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
13%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Efficiency consistency: 1.55 — highly consistent across seasons+0.246
-30.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.168
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.145
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+94) — improving trajectory-0.762
59.0 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.453
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.408