Player breakdown
Vernon Davis
Maryland · 2006 Draft Class
6-3254 lbs1st round, 6th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
91%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | SFO | 10 | 8 | 42 | 20 | 265 | 13.3 | 3 | 26.5 |
| 2007 | SFO | 14 | 14 | 85 | 52 | 509 | 9.8 | 4 | 36.4 |
| 2008 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 49 | 31 | 358 | 11.5 | 2 | 22.4 |
| 2009 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 128 | 78 | 965 | 12.4 | 13 | 60.3 |
| 2010 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 93 | 56 | 914 | 16.3 | 7 | 57.1 |
| 2011 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 95 | 67 | 792 | 11.8 | 6 | 49.5 |
| 2012 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 61 | 41 | 548 | 13.4 | 5 | 34.3 |
| 2013 | SFO | 15 | 15 | 84 | 52 | 850 | 16.3 | 13 | 56.7 |
| 2014 | SFO | 14 | 14 | 50 | 26 | 245 | 9.4 | 2 | 17.5 |
| 2015 | 2TM | 15 | 9 | 58 | 38 | 395 | 10.4 | 0 | 26.3 |
| 2015 | SFO | 6 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 194 | 10.8 | 0 | 32.3 |
| 2015 | DEN | 9 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 201 | 10.1 | 0 | 22.3 |
| 2016 | WAS | 16 | 14 | 59 | 44 | 583 | 13.3 | 2 | 36.4 |
| 2017 | WAS | 16 | 16 | 69 | 43 | 648 | 15.1 | 3 | 40.5 |
| 2018 | WAS | 14 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 367 | 14.7 | 2 | 26.2 |
| 2019 | WAS | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 123 | 12.3 | 1 | 30.8 |
| Career | 213 | 188 | 986 | 621 | 7,957 | 12.8 | 63 | 37.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Maryland | Big Ten | 1 | 27 | 441 | 3 | 16.3 | 441 |
| 2005 | Maryland | Big Ten | 0 | 51 | 871 | 6 | 17.1 | 0 |
| Career | 1 | 78 | 1,312 | 9 | 16.8 | 1312.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
91%
ML model output
Context Prob
91%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,161 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.637
128" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.571
3.43 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.349
Top Negative Factors
Speed × production: 120.2 — elite combined athletic output-0.317
Reception rate trend-0.297
Best season: 441.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.259