Player breakdown
Virgil Green
Nevada · 2011 Draft Class
6-3249 lbs7th round, 204th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
21%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | DEN | 15 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 1.6 |
| 2012 | DEN | 12 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 12.6 | 0 | 5.3 |
| 2013 | DEN | 16 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 2.8 |
| 2014 | DEN | 13 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 12.3 | 1 | 5.7 |
| 2015 | DEN | 16 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 173 | 14.4 | 1 | 10.8 |
| 2016 | DEN | 12 | 11 | 37 | 22 | 237 | 10.8 | 1 | 19.8 |
| 2017 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 22 | 14 | 191 | 13.6 | 1 | 11.9 |
| 2018 | LAC | 16 | 16 | 27 | 19 | 210 | 11.1 | 1 | 13.1 |
| 2019 | LAC | 15 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 78 | 8.7 | 1 | 5.2 |
| 2020 | LAC | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 16.7 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Career | 137 | 72 | 149 | 102 | 1,145 | 11.2 | 7 | 8.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1 | 13 | 136 | 1 | 10.5 | 136 |
| 2009 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5 | 23 | 260 | 5 | 11.3 | 52 |
| 2010 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4 | 31 | 453 | 5 | 14.6 | 113.2 |
| Career | 10 | 67 | 849 | 11 | 12.7 | 84.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
21%
ML model output
Context Prob
21%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
130" broad jump — elite lower-body explosion+0.568
136.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.360
YPG ranked at 10th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.176
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+158 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.554
392 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.499
1.82 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.406