Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Will Dissly
Will Dissly

Player breakdown

Will Dissly

Washington · 2018 Draft Class

6-4262 lbs4th round, 120th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

52%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2018SEA4414815619.5239
2019SEA66272326211.4443.7
2020SEA1612292425110.5215.7
2021SEA1514262123111115.4
2022SEA1515383434910.3323.3
2023SEA1614221717210.1110.8
2024LAC15864504819.6232.1
2025LAC921611978.8010.8
Career96752361881,99910.61520.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016WashingtonPac-12332006.76.7
2017WashingtonPac-12918223212.424.8
Career1221243211.620.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

52%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

111" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.600
Reception rate trend+0.272
-70.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.189

Top Negative Factors

252 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.550
0.85 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.462
6.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.315

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)