Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Will Mallory
Will Mallory

Player breakdown

Will Mallory

Miami (FL) · 2023 Draft Class

6-5239 lbs5th round, 162nd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~27
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023IND122261820711.5017.3
2024IND10084297.302.9
2025IND2011161608
Career242352325211.0010.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018MiamiACC353707.412.3
2019MiamiACC512251020.950.2
2020MiamiACC918262014.629.1
2021MiamiACC1129292310.126.5
2022MiamiACC1041538213.153.8
Career381051,380513.136.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

38%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

121" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.601
Reception rate trend+0.268
-54.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.185

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+125 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.564
Speed × production: 60.5 — strong combined athletic output-0.353
12.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.320

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)