Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Zach Miller
Zach Miller

Player breakdown

Zach Miller

Arizona St. · 2007 Draft Class

6-4256 lbs2nd round, 38th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~40
EliteAll-American x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

93%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2007OAK1616684444410.1327.8
2008OAK1615865677813.9148.6
2009OAK1515996680512.2353.7
2009JAX140272121210.1215.1
2010OAK1515926068511.4545.7
2010JAX155262021610.8114.4
2011SEA151544252339.3015.5
2011JAX40744210.5110.5
2012SEA1615533839610.4324.8
2013SEA1412563338711.7527.6
2014SEA33767612.7025.3
2015CHI1514463443912.9529.3
2016CHI108644748610.3448.6
2017CHI86352023611.8229.5
Career1761397104745,43511.53530.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004Arizona StateBig 12551524610.3104.8
2005Arizona StateBig 12434433312.7108.2
2006Arizona StateBig 1244948149.8120.2
Career131341,4381310.7110.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

93%

ML model output

Context Prob

93%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

115" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.617
104.8 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.335
Reception rate trend+0.268

Top Negative Factors

Class YPR rank: top 78% — average per-target efficiency-0.309
BMI 31.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (256 lbs)-0.214
Physical upside: 0.96 — elite athletic ceiling-0.182

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)