Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Zack Kuntz
Zack Kuntz

Player breakdown

Zack Kuntz

Old Dominion · 2023 Draft Class

6-7255 lbs7th round, 220th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~27
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

58%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018Penn StateBig Ten113203232
2019Penn StateBig Ten2218099
2021Old DominionConference USA738422111.160.3
2022Old DominionSun Belt41114311335.8
Career1452615211.843.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

40%

ML model output

Context Prob

40%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

128" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.622
-39.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.191
Speed × production: 50.2 — average combined athletic output+0.190

Top Negative Factors

60.3 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.454
281 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.432
1.65 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.372

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)