Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cedric James
Cedric James

Player breakdown

Cedric James

TCU · 2001 Draft Class

6-2204 lbs4th round, 131st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2002MIN5021292905.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Texas ChristianWAC1119310316.328.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

49%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.704
Recruit dominator synergy+0.456
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.250

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.311
-27.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.560
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.362

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)