Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cedrick Wilson
Cedrick Wilson

Player breakdown

Cedrick Wilson

Tennessee · 2001 Draft Class

5-10179 lbs6th round, 169th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2002SFO160221516611.1110.4
2003SFO164633539611.3224.8
2004SFO1515854764113.6342.7
2005PIT161522645117.3028.2
2006PIT1512693750413.6133.6
2007PIT161301820711.5112.9
Career94333211782,36513.3825.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000TennesseeSEC1162681121161.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.691
BMI 25.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (179 lbs)+0.195
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.01x — route-running independent of system+0.149

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.484
+9.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.535
Accounted for 1.92 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.352

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)