Player breakdown
Chad Johnson
Oregon St. · 2001 Draft Class
6-1192 lbs2nd round, 36th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~48
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | CIN | 12 | 3 | 60 | 28 | 329 | 11.8 | 1 | 27.4 |
| 2002 | CIN | 16 | 14 | 137 | 69 | 1,166 | 16.9 | 5 | 72.9 |
| 2003 | CIN | 16 | 14 | 154 | 90 | 1,355 | 15.1 | 10 | 84.7 |
| 2004 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 170 | 95 | 1,274 | 13.4 | 9 | 79.6 |
| 2005 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 155 | 97 | 1,432 | 14.8 | 9 | 89.5 |
| 2006 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 152 | 87 | 1,369 | 15.7 | 7 | 85.6 |
| 2007 | CIN | 16 | 16 | 161 | 93 | 1,440 | 15.5 | 8 | 90 |
| 2008 | CIN | 13 | 10 | 97 | 53 | 540 | 10.2 | 4 | 41.5 |
| 2009 | CIN | 16 | 15 | 128 | 72 | 1,047 | 14.5 | 9 | 65.4 |
| 2010 | CIN | 14 | 12 | 126 | 67 | 831 | 12.4 | 4 | 59.4 |
| 2011 | NWE | 15 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 276 | 18.4 | 1 | 18.4 |
| Career | 166 | 135 | 1372 | 766 | 11,059 | 14.4 | 67 | 66.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 11 | 33 | 713 | 6 | 21.6 | 64.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
90%
ML model output
Context Prob
75%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.199
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.727
Recruit dominator synergy+0.528
Top Negative Factors
+10.4 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.748
Accounted for 1.77 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.405
Team averaged 100.8 pass attempts/game — pass-heavy spread offensive system-0.202