Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Taylor
Chris Taylor

Player breakdown

Chris Taylor

Texas A&M · 2001 Draft Class

5-11183 lbs7th round, 218th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Texas A&MBig 121132390112.235.5
2002IndianaBig Ten6446011.57.7
2003IndianaBig Ten10994110.49.4
2004IndianaBig Ten11458014.55.3
2005IndianaBig Ten11154903.34.5
2015DukeACC953607.24
2016DukeACC1229315110.926.3
2017DukeACC1325332113.325.5
2018DukeACC1331419313.532.2
Career961541,739711.318.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.189
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.682
Recruit dominator synergy+0.525

Top Negative Factors

-16.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.754
0.09 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.469
Accounted for 0.82 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.401

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)