Player breakdown
David Terrell
Michigan · 2001 Draft Class
6-3213 lbs1st round, 8th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~47
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
74%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | CHI | 16 | 6 | 63 | 34 | 415 | 12.2 | 4 | 25.9 |
| 2002 | CHI | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 127 | 14.1 | 3 | 25.4 |
| 2003 | CHI | 16 | 7 | 84 | 43 | 361 | 8.4 | 1 | 22.6 |
| 2004 | CHI | 16 | 15 | 90 | 42 | 699 | 16.6 | 1 | 43.7 |
| 2005 | DEN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 54 | 29 | 249 | 128 | 1,602 | 12.5 | 9 | 29.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11 | 63 | 994 | 13 | 15.8 | 90.4 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
78%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.165
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.630
+34.4 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.313
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.411
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.407
Recruit dominator synergy-0.306