Player breakdown
Freddie Mitchell
UCLA · 2001 Draft Class
5-11185 lbs1st round, 25th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~47
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
42%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | PHI | 15 | 1 | 43 | 21 | 283 | 13.5 | 1 | 18.9 |
| 2002 | PHI | 16 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 105 | 8.8 | 0 | 6.6 |
| 2003 | PHI | 16 | 6 | 59 | 35 | 498 | 14.2 | 2 | 31.1 |
| 2004 | PHI | 16 | 9 | 45 | 22 | 377 | 17.1 | 2 | 23.6 |
| Career | 63 | 17 | 172 | 90 | 1,263 | 14.0 | 5 | 20.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 11 | 68 | 1,314 | 8 | 19.3 | 119.5 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
16%
ML model output
Context Prob
90%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.685
35.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.328
+67.3 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.250
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.599
Physical production synergy-0.430
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.410