Player breakdown
Kevin Kasper
Iowa · 2001 Draft Class
6-0199 lbs6th round, 190th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~48
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
51%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | DEN | 10 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 84 | 10.5 | 0 | 8.4 |
| 2002 | ARI | 6 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 180 | 12 | 3 | 30 |
| 2003 | ARI | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 2004 | NWE | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2006 | DET | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 32 | 9 | 46 | 24 | 287 | 12.0 | 3 | 9.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Iowa | Big Ten | 12 | 82 | 1,010 | 7 | 12.3 | 84.2 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
52%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.670
44.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.327
+29.8 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.278
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.605
Physical production synergy-0.271
Recruit dominator synergy-0.224