Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Quincy Morgan
Quincy Morgan

Player breakdown

Quincy Morgan

Kansas St. · 2001 Draft Class

6-1211 lbs2nd round, 33rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~48
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

81%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2001CLE169723043214.4227
2002CLE1616975696417.2760.3
2003CLE1615793851613.6332.3
20042TM1512683140413326.9
2004CLE6521914416324
2004DAL97472226011.8028.9
2005PIT16018915016.729.4
Career94644021952,87014.72030.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Kansas StateBig 1213641,1661418.289.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

83%

ML model output

Context Prob

65%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.129
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.657
74.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.320

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.431
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.420
Recruit dominator synergy-0.295

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)