Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Reggie Germany
Reggie Germany

Player breakdown

Reggie Germany

Ohio St. · 2001 Draft Class

6-1183 lbs7th round, 214th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~48
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2001BUF161211220316.9012.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Ohio StateBig Ten1022366116.636.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

35%

ML model output

Context Prob

49%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.070
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.766
Recruit dominator synergy+0.504

Top Negative Factors

-15.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
0.10 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.473
Accounted for 1.20 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.398

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)