Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Reggie Wayne
Reggie Wayne

Player breakdown

Reggie Wayne

Miami (FL) · 2001 Draft Class

6-0198 lbs1st round, 30th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~47
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

84%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2001IND139492734512.8026.5
2002IND167724971614.6444.8
2003IND16161076883812.3752.4
2004IND1616115771,21015.71275.6
2005IND1616122831,05512.7565.9
2006IND1616137861,31015.2981.9
2007IND16161561041,51014.51094.4
2008IND1616131821,14514671.6
2009IND16161491001,26412.61079
2010IND16161751111,35512.2684.7
2011IND16161327596012.8460
2012IND16151951061,35512.8584.7
2013IND77583850313.2271.9
2014IND15151166477912.2251.9
Career2111971714107014,34513.48268.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Miami (FL)Big East11437551017.668.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

93%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.205
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.802
38.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.328

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.443
+14.2 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.279
Recruit dominator synergy-0.203

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)