Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rod Gardner
Rod Gardner

Player breakdown

Rod Gardner

Clemson · 2001 Draft Class

6-2219 lbs1st round, 15th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~48
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

85%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2001WAS16161014674116.1446.3
2002WAS1615141711,00614.2862.9
2003WAS16161155960010.2537.5
2004WAS16141065165012.7540.6
20052TM131261315111.6111.6
2005CAR110169849.317.6
2005GNB211046716.8033.5
2006KAN14092178.501.2
Career104635242553,31613.02431.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000ClemsonACC1151956618.786.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

90%

ML model output

Context Prob

60%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.144
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.684
+29.9 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.315

Top Negative Factors

Scout dominator depth synergy-0.397
Physical production synergy-0.253
Height-adjusted speed: 4.36s — elite speed for frame-0.146

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)