Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Santana Moss
Santana Moss

Player breakdown

Santana Moss

Miami (FL) · 2001 Draft Class

5-10184 lbs1st round, 16th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~47
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

79%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2001NYJ50172402008
2002NYJ153523043314.4428.9
2003NYJ1612117741,10514.91069.1
2004NYJ1514784583818.6555.9
2005WAS1616134841,48317.7992.7
2006WAS14141015579014.4656.4
2007WAS14141156180813.2357.7
2008WAS1616138791,04413.2665.3
2009WAS16161207090212.9356.4
2010WAS1616145931,11512669.7
2011WAS1212954658412.7448.7
2012WAS161624157314835.8
2013WAS161794245210.8228.3
2014WAS100151011611.6011.6
Career197135126873210,28314.06652.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Miami (FL)Big East1145748516.668

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

87%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.228
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.796
Recruit dominator synergy+0.363

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.374
Efficiency composite: 0.56 — average combined efficiency-0.176
51.4 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.159

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)