Player breakdown
Steve Smith Sr.
Utah · 2001 Draft Class
5-9184 lbs3rd round, 74th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~47
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
79%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | CAR | 15 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 154 | 15.4 | 0 | 10.3 |
| 2002 | CAR | 15 | 13 | 97 | 54 | 872 | 16.1 | 3 | 58.1 |
| 2003 | CAR | 16 | 11 | 141 | 88 | 1,110 | 12.6 | 7 | 69.4 |
| 2004 | CAR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 60 |
| 2005 | CAR | 16 | 16 | 150 | 103 | 1,563 | 15.2 | 12 | 97.7 |
| 2006 | CAR | 14 | 14 | 139 | 83 | 1,166 | 14 | 8 | 83.3 |
| 2007 | CAR | 15 | 15 | 148 | 87 | 1,002 | 11.5 | 7 | 66.8 |
| 2008 | CAR | 14 | 14 | 129 | 78 | 1,421 | 18.2 | 6 | 101.5 |
| 2009 | CAR | 15 | 15 | 129 | 65 | 982 | 15.1 | 7 | 65.5 |
| 2010 | CAR | 14 | 14 | 100 | 46 | 554 | 12 | 2 | 39.6 |
| 2011 | CAR | 16 | 16 | 129 | 79 | 1,394 | 17.6 | 7 | 87.1 |
| 2012 | CAR | 16 | 16 | 137 | 73 | 1,174 | 16.1 | 4 | 73.4 |
| 2013 | CAR | 15 | 15 | 110 | 64 | 745 | 11.6 | 4 | 49.7 |
| 2014 | BAL | 16 | 16 | 134 | 79 | 1,065 | 13.5 | 6 | 66.6 |
| 2015 | BAL | 7 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 670 | 14.6 | 3 | 95.7 |
| 2016 | BAL | 14 | 14 | 101 | 70 | 799 | 11.4 | 5 | 57.1 |
| Career | 219 | 198 | 1746 | 1031 | 14,731 | 14.3 | 81 | 67.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Utah | MWC | 10 | 35 | 743 | 4 | 21.2 | 74.3 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
86%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.202
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.736
36.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.321
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.424
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.376
Accounted for 1.66 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.364