Predicting the Pros
Predictions/T.J. Houshmandzadeh
T.J. Houshmandzadeh

Player breakdown

T.J. Houshmandzadeh

Oregon St. · 2001 Draft Class

7th round, 204th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~48
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

86%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2001CIN121422122810.9019
2002CIN165694149212130.8
2004CIN16131087397813.4461.1
2005CIN14121157895612.3768.3
2006CIN1413132901,08112977.2
2007CIN16151691121,14310.21271.4
2008CIN1515137929049.8460.3
2009SEA16161357991111.5356.9
2010BAL162573039813.3324.9
2011OAK90191114613.3116.2
Career144929836277,23711.54450.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Oregon StatePac-101142656615.659.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

87%

ML model output

Context Prob

67%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.203
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.864
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.245

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.717
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.235
Recruit dominator synergy-0.230

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)