Player breakdown
Vinny Sutherland
Purdue · 2001 Draft Class
5-9192 lbs5th round, 136th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~48
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | SFO | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Purdue | Big Ten | 10 | 65 | 926 | 11 | 14.2 | 92.6 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
36%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.789
42.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.336
+38.2 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.251
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.159
Accounted for 1.89 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.360
Physical production synergy-0.234