Player breakdown
Caullin Lacy
Louisville · 2026 Draft Class
5-9183 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~24
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
16%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 11 | 11 | 98 | 0 | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| 2021 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 11 | 41 | 291 | 0 | 7.1 | 26.5 |
| 2022 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 13 | 64 | 812 | 6 | 12.7 | 62.5 |
| 2023 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 12 | 91 | 1,316 | 7 | 14.5 | 109.7 |
| 2024 | Louisville | ACC | 5 | 18 | 196 | 1 | 10.9 | 39.2 |
| 2025 | Louisville | ACC | 13 | 60 | 635 | 2 | 10.6 | 48.8 |
| Career | 65 | 285 | 3,348 | 16 | 11.7 | 51.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
39%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.181
Recruit dominator synergy+0.396
BMI 27.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (183 lbs)+0.175
Top Negative Factors
-6.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.718
Improvement accelerating (+12.4) — getting better faster each year-0.490
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.458