Player breakdown
K.J. Osborn
Miami (FL) · 2020 Draft Class
5-11203 lbs5th round, 176th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | MIN | 17 | 9 | 82 | 50 | 655 | 13.1 | 7 | 38.5 |
| 2022 | MIN | 17 | 9 | 90 | 60 | 650 | 10.8 | 5 | 38.2 |
| 2023 | MIN | 16 | 12 | 75 | 48 | 540 | 11.3 | 3 | 33.8 |
| 2024 | NWE | 7 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Career | 57 | 34 | 265 | 165 | 1,902 | 11.5 | 16 | 33.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Buffalo | MAC | 12 | 8 | 105 | 1 | 13.1 | 8.8 |
| 2017 | Buffalo | MAC | 12 | 35 | 493 | 4 | 14.1 | 41.1 |
| 2018 | Buffalo | MAC | 14 | 53 | 892 | 7 | 16.8 | 63.7 |
| 2019 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 13 | 50 | 547 | 5 | 10.9 | 42.1 |
| Career | 51 | 146 | 2,037 | 17 | 14.0 | 39.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
11%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.299
Recruit dominator synergy+0.565
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.191
Top Negative Factors
-13.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.734
Physical production synergy-0.491
Improvement accelerating (+7.5) — getting better faster each year-0.449