Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cornell Powell
Cornell Powell

Player breakdown

Cornell Powell

Clemson · 2021 Draft Class

6-0204 lbs5th round, 181st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

41%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016ClemsonACC9128707.39.7
2017ClemsonACC1485717.14.1
2018ClemsonACC4563012.615.8
2019ClemsonACC151512228.18.1
2020ClemsonACC1253882716.673.5
Career54931,2111013.022.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

9

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.240
BMI 27.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (204 lbs)+0.183
9.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.153

Top Negative Factors

-33.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.769
Improvement accelerating (+9.1) — getting better faster each year-0.476
0.19 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.462

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)