Player breakdown
Dorian Thomas
New Mexico · 2027 Draft Class
6-3180 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico | MWC | 13 | 56 | 560 | 4 | 10 | 43.1 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.823
Recruit dominator synergy+0.457
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.813
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.326
Physical production synergy-0.300