Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Eli Raridon
Eli Raridon

Player breakdown

Eli Raridon

Notre Dame · 2026 Draft Class

6-6245 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

13%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023Notre DameInd7551110.27.3
2024Notre DameInd16119028.25.6
2025Notre DameInd1232482015.140.2
Career3548623313.017.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.517
7.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.293
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.76x — route-running independent of system+0.170

Top Negative Factors

-5.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.775
Improvement accelerating (+8.4) — getting better faster each year-0.472
0.09 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.461

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)