Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tre Tucker
Tre Tucker

Player breakdown

Tre Tucker

Cincinnati · 2023 Draft Class

5-9182 lbs3rd round, 100th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

21%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023LVR161341933117.4220.7
2024LVR1714814753911.5331.7
2025LVR1717925769612.2540.9
Career50322071231,56612.71031.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019CincinnatiAmerican14792013.16.6
2020CincinnatiAmerican1018236313.123.6
2021CincinnatiAmerican1434426212.530.4
2022CincinnatiAmerican1252671312.955.9
Career501111,425812.828.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

17%

ML model output

Context Prob

47%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.157
Recruit dominator synergy+0.509
6.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.285

Top Negative Factors

-23.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
Improvement accelerating (+6.3) — getting better faster each year-0.525
0.16 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.461

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)