Player breakdown
Elijah Higgins
Stanford · 2023 Draft Class
6-3235 lbs6th round, 197th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5 | 15 | 176 | 0 | 11.7 | 35.2 |
| 2021 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 10 | 45 | 500 | 4 | 11.1 | 50 |
| 2022 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 12 | 59 | 704 | 2 | 11.9 | 58.7 |
| Career | 27 | 119 | 1,380 | 6 | 11.6 | 51.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
39%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.108
BMI 29.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (235 lbs)+0.152
11.6 avg YPR per season — average consistent efficiency+0.140
Top Negative Factors
-5.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.726
0.22 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.484
Physical production synergy-0.467