Player breakdown
Emeka Egbuka
Ohio St. · 2025 Draft Class
6-1202 lbs1st round, 19th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.5M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
83%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TAM | 17 | 13 | 127 | 63 | 938 | 14.9 | 6 | 55.2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10 | 9 | 191 | 0 | 21.2 | 19.1 |
| 2022 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 74 | 1,151 | 10 | 15.6 | 88.5 |
| 2023 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10 | 41 | 515 | 4 | 12.6 | 51.5 |
| 2024 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 16 | 81 | 1,011 | 10 | 12.5 | 63.2 |
| Career | 49 | 205 | 2,868 | 24 | 14.0 | 58.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
8
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.138
Physical production synergy+0.301
BMI 26.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (202 lbs)+0.244
Top Negative Factors
+2.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.693
Efficiency consistency: 1.52 — highly consistent across seasons-0.308
Improvement accelerating (+5.0) — getting better faster each year-0.291